Tucson's real estate sales stats for September were just released and just when you thought it couldn't get any worse it did. The economy is hittin the real estate market hard right now and it's apparent in our current numbers. The average and median sales price in Tucson have both dropped significantly as well as pending sales and homes sales volume. Both active and new listings saw slight increases as well as number of units sold.
- Tucson saw a pretty significant dip in our average sale's price again in September; the average price dropped to $217,397, a 8.85% decrease from August's average of $238,504, and a 20.19% decrease from September 2007 ($272,396).
Tucson average sales price for September
- Tucson's median sales price for September '08 was $180,500, a 2.43% decrease from August's median price of $185,000, and a 16.05% decrease from September 2007's median price of $215,000.
- There were 836 Pending contracts in September 2008, a decrease of 4.78% from the number of Pending's in August (878). It's also a 15.47% decrease from the number of Pending contracts in Sept 2007 (989).
- The average days on market decreased by one putting us at 82 for September 2008, compared to 77 DOM in August and 72 DOM in Sept 2007.
Tucson average days on market for September
- Tucson had 7,858 Active listings in September, a 1.22% increase from 7,763 in August 2008, and a 14.49% decrease from Sept 2007 (9,190).
- Tucson saw 2,039 New listings in Sept 2008, a 4.46% increase from August 2008 (1,952), but a 18.34% decrease from Sept 2007 (2,497).
- The number of units sold in September 2008 (934) increased by 3.43% from August's number of 903. It's also a 20.67% increase from Sept 2007 (774).
As the economy continues to take a dive the Tucson real estate market is following. As usual it can be said that if you are looking to buy a property there's plenty of inventory, so that's a positive note. The big problem is that fewer people can qualify for a loan. I spoke with a few lender friends of mine and all said that those that have good credit and income and a nice down payment shouldn't have a problem getting a loan. Still that can change in an instant. It's going to be interesting to see how Tucson's market is impacted by the nosedive the stock market has taken. A large number of Tucson buyers are seniors investing in retirement homes or individuals investing in second homes. After the week we've had there's a good chance that many retirees and investors have lost a huge portion of their savings and aren't in a position to buy. As we move into our busy season we'll continue to keep an eye and sales activity and hope for some improvement.
Thursday, October 9, 2008
Tucson real estate sales statistics for September
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Valorie Bradley
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2:29 PM
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Labels: Tucson Monthly Sales Stats
Friday, September 26, 2008
The mortgage meltdown simplified....
Courtesy of mymoneyblog.comJust a lite example of how the country got into the big mess we're in now.....
Check out this entertaining slide show to see how simple it once was to get a home loan
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Valorie Bradley
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6:35 AM
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Thursday, September 18, 2008
Builder sales continue to drop nationwide
The Commerce Department reported that new home starts were down 6.2% from July, and down 33% from the previous year. New homes sales have slowed quite a bit in the Tucson area as well. When comparing local new homes sales to the previous year, inventory homes aren't selling like they have in the past. Within the last six months only 65 new construction "spec" homes have sold in NW Tucson, compared to 248 "spec" homes that sold during the same period last year. A friend of mine who works as a Pulte sales rep told me that she has not sold a home all summer. She's usually very upbeat and positive but I can tell she's really concerned about the market and where it's heading. The builder continues to lower their home prices, hoping to draw in more buyers. Unfortunately the buyers just aren't coming in. As we move into the busy season for Tucson real estate, everyone's hoping that the low prices and high inventory will get our housing market moving.
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Valorie Bradley
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11:15 AM
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Labels: Tucson Home Builder Sales
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Year of the grasshopper?
The Tucson Community Supported Agriculture reported that they are canceling their Fall session Thursday pick ups due to increased grasshopper damage. Crops were devastated from grasshoppers at "biblical proportions" according to one local farmer. So what's causing the increase in these herbivorous insects? Apparently it's a seven year cycle; grasshoppers multiply until the seven year crescendo and then start a new cycle. It looks like this year they're at their peak; after this season we probably won't see them again for awhile. Although local farmers will be relieved some of us will miss the entertainment!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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6:19 PM
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Friday, September 12, 2008
Tucson real estate sales statistics for August (Warning, you might want to grab your box of Kleenex now)
- Tucson saw a pretty significant dip in our average sale's price in August; the average price dropped to $238,504, a 6.42% decrease from July's average of $254,854, and a 12.94% decrease from August 2007 ($273,815).
Tucson average sales price for August
- Tucson's median sales price for August '08 was $185,000, a .7.45% decrease from July's median price of $199,900, and a 16.25% decrease from August 2007's median price of $220,900.
- There were 878 Pending contracts in August 2008, a decrease of 8.54% from the number of Pending's in July (960). It's also a 14.26% decrease from the number of Pending contracts in August 2007 (1,024).
- The average days on market decreased by one putting us at 77 for August 2008, compared to 78 DOM in July and 68 DOM in August 2007.
Tucson average days on market for August
- Tucson had 7,763 Active listings in August, a 1.43% decrease from 7,876 in July 2008, and a 13.30% decrease from August 2007 (8,954).
- Tucson saw 1,952 New listings in August 2008, a 16.26% increase from July 2008 (1,679), but a 16.47% decrease from August 2007 (2,337).
- The number of units sold in August 2008 (903) decreased by 4.44% from July's number of 945. It's a 17.31% decrease from August 2007 (1,092).
Wow, what to say..... As I've said it's going to get worse before it gets better. There's a few other real estate professionals that agree with me when we're in private, but otherwise it's really kind of an unspoken subject. Don't want to appear too negative! Unfortunately we've got to be realistic. The economy is a mess, there's a lot of people that cannot obtain home financing, and I think to some degree the nation is at a standstill until this election is over. Home prices will not increase until we can rid our market of the foreclosures and excess resale inventory. Foreclosures will likely increase over the next few months so we can count on prices remaining low for some time. On the up side if you don't have a home to sell, you qualify for a loan and you have cash available for a down payment, there's some great inventory out here!
Tucson real etstate sales statistics for August
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Valorie Bradley
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9:31 AM
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Labels: Tucson Monthly Sales Stats
Monday, September 8, 2008
Looking to rent? Tucson is the place for you!
Arizona and Florida both top a list of metro areas with the biggest rent drops. As housing prices continue to drop more homeowners are renting because they can't sell. More competition means desperation and lower prices. Until we see a decrease in inventory prices will continue to remain low.
The weak economy is also impacting rentals. As many Americans worry about what their future holds, renting might be a better option for those that don't want to be tied down financially.
Tucson has seen a annual rent drop of 2.4% and a vacancy rate of 7%.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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6:48 PM
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Wednesday, September 3, 2008
Arizona foreclosure filings for July
Though Arizona appears to be slipping back on the list, we've seen a 127% increase in foreclosure filings over July 2007. One in every 195 properties received a foreclosure filing in July. When looking at foreclosures in metro areas, Phoenix ranked at number ten. According to Realtytrac, "bank repossessions are the fastest growing segment of foreclosure activity in July". Currently there are about 80 real estate owned properties on the market in Tucson.



I think we've got a ways to go before we see these numbers go down. There's still a large number of homeowners that have maxed our all that glorious equity they built up so quickly. As issues continue with the economy we should expect to see higher foreclosure numbers for the next few months. Once we eliminate more of the distressed properties from our inventory we'll see home prices creep back up along with unit sales.
Read more!
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Valorie Bradley
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4:24 PM
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Autumn approaches slowly in Tucson
The monsoon is still hanging on in Tucson, filling the sky with those fluffy grey and white clouds that make you think of cool autumn breezes, brightly colored leaves and pumpkin patches. I've seen Halloween costumes and some Christmas decorations for sale at various retails stores. Some of these items started popping up on store shelves and QVC in July, but as we get closer to October they're becoming more abundant. Soon we'll see the Halloween specialty shops popping up in vacated retail buildings across the city.
The cooler overnight temperatures that Tucson is seeing makes it easier to get out and exercise in the morning. While out on my runs I've noticed packs of bicyclists making their rounds early in the day. September is when the really serious cyclists start full training for the El Tour de Tucson bike race which takes place in November. It's rare I see a single cyclist; most are packs of five or more and are dressed in full uniforms that proudly display their sponsors.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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2:14 PM
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Labels: Tucson weather
Monday, August 25, 2008
Tucson's a great place if you're not flying through TIA
Currently there's only ten airlines that offer nonstop flights from Tucson, with about 18 non stop destinations. These airlines include American, US Airways, Delta and Southwest. If you're flying directly to any of their major hubs you're in great shape, but not everyone is making Dallas, Phoenix, Atlanta or Albuquerque their final destination. If you're departing from Tucson, you can bet you'll have a stop over in one of those four cities. ExpressJet was the eleventh airline that provided non stop service to and from Tucson but this service will be discontinued September 2 when they'll cease flying here and in the rest of the country.
US Airways isn't the only airline that has difficulties, they just seem to be the most consistent with their issues. Every airline that comes through the Tucson International Airport has their good days and bad. American sees weather and traffic congestion delays in Dallas all the time, but being delayed in Dallas doesn't bother me as much as being stuck in Phoenix. My word of advice is if you're flying US Airways through Phoenix, have a backup plan and a carry on!
Read more!
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Valorie Bradley
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1:09 PM
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Tuesday, August 19, 2008
Housing starts continue to drop; Tucson home builders
In Oro Valley there are quite a few home builders that are trying desperately to sell off their remaining home sites, spec homes and models. All of these builders have dropped their prices significantly since the communities first opened around 2005. One of Tucson's biggest builders, Pulte, has dropped the base prices drastically in their high end development of Sienna; prices are about $100K less then they were in 2006. Homes that once started at $642K are now starting at $542K, and some of their spec homes have recently old for almost $200K less then the original 2006 prices. This particular community is not yet built out and is already seeing a number of short sales, which are impacting surrounding property values.
Until Tucson home builders can sell off some of the existing inventory their "giving away" our resale market will continue to remain sluggish. Once we can eliminate the builder spec inventory that's available buyers should begin focusing on resale homes; this should help reduce our resale inventory and help to stabilize the market.
Read more!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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6:28 AM
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Labels: Tucson Home Builder Sales
Saturday, August 16, 2008
Tucson real estate sales stats for July
Tucson average sales price for July

- Tucson's median sales price for July '08 was $199,900, a .05% decrease from June's median price of $200,000, but a 7.88% decrease from July 2007's median price of $217,000.
- There were 960 Pending contracts in July 2008, a increase of almost 1% over the number of Pending's in June (951). It's also a 45.98% decrease over the number of Pending contracts in June 2007 (1,777).
- The average days on market remained unchanged at 78 in July 2008, but still a 20% increase from June '07 (65) .
Tucson average days on market for July

- Tucson had 7,876 Active listings in July, a 3.24% decrease from 8,140 in June 2008, and a 9.39% decrease from July 2007 (8,692).
- Tucson saw 1,679 New listings in July 2008, a 19.86% decrease from June 2008 (2,095) , and a 39.30% decrease from July 2007 (2,766).
- The number of units sold in July 2008 (945) decreased by 8.61% from June's number of 1034. It's a 20.05% decrease from July 2007 (1,182).
July is typically a slower month for real estate in Tucson. The temperatures are hot and the summer monsoons make it very humid. We see very few out of state visitors during our summer months so retirees and second home buyers aren't taking advantage of the great inventory that's available. Those that are buying are generally job relocations trying to squeeze a move in the school year starts.
I'm really hoping these numbers are a reflection of the stabilization that Tucson's housing market needs, but there's no way to tell until we see real estate stats for the next few months. If we continue to see fewer new listings and more unit sales, we'll be on the right track to reducing our Days of Inventory, which was at about 258 days as of July. Though this number seems relatively high, it's dropped by about 50% since January '08, meaning we might be headed in right direction.

Get all the latest Tucson real estate numbers at the TAR Monthly Statistical Digest
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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1:55 PM
1 comments
Labels: Tucson Monthly Sales Stats
Thursday, August 14, 2008
Million dollar bank owned homes popping up everywhere
Just check out this one that's located in The Gallery at Dove Mountain. In Tucson there's currently three short sales, one bank owned and one foreclosure property that are listed with prices over one million dollars.
Read more!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
10:56 AM
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Wednesday, August 13, 2008
And we thought Tucson's housing market was bad...
This "quaint" little home in Detroit sold for a big fat dollar after selling for $65,000 in 2006. It sounds like the house was pretty much a scrap heap by the time it went on the market, so the new homeowners really have their work cut out for them!
Read more!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
8:38 AM
1 comments
Labels: National Real Estate
Tucson residents looking for carpool buddies
Even for those residents that work in the Tucson area, the commute to and from their jobs can be quite a drive. Some of Tucson's least expensive housing is located in rural areas that require long distance driving to get to local amenities, so driving to work just adds on the financial burden. I found a couple of great sites for Tucsonans looking to carpool locally or outside the city, and from what I've seen there's a lot of Tucson residents that are looking to share commuting expenses. Unfortunately Tucson doesn't utilize carpool lanes so the only advantage is saving money on gas!
Read more!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
7:58 AM
1 comments
Labels: Tucson Traffic
Tuesday, August 12, 2008
One third of homeowners in negative equity
California is being hit hardest, with the number of homeowners whose mortgage debts exceeded the values of their properties topping 90 percent in some areas. During Q2 2008 foreclosure activity in California increased 19 percent over Q1 2008. About one in every 65 households filed foreclosure during this period.
Arizona posted the nation's third highest foreclosure filing with a 36 percent increase in filings over Q1 2008 and close to four times the number reported for Q2 2007. This amounts to about one in every 70 Arizona homes filing foreclosure. The Phoenix metro area reported one in every 51 homes received a foreclosure filing during this period.
Who's to blame? Excited home buyers who didn't read all the fine print or exaggerated their income on loan applications, or the lenders themselves that approved any and everyone for homes they really couldn't afford? I personally don't think we can point the finger at any one cause for this fiasco. All we can say is that foreclosure filings will likely increase and sales prices will drop through the rest of the year. Lending standards are getting tighter so fewer buyers can obtain loans without large down payments, which isn't necessarily a bad thing. If we hadn't seen so much creative financing being used in the past few years this problem wouldn't be as extreme as it is now.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
7:09 PM
1 comments
Thursday, August 7, 2008
Tough market creates struggles for real estate agents too
The real estate slow down is difficult for everyone right now. Buyers struggle for a number of reasons; many can't qualify for the loans they once could, so fewer are jumping into the game. Others need to sell their own home first; higher housing inventory/competition and fewer qualified buyers make selling a nearly impossible feat right now. But the buyers and sellers aren't the only ones being affected by the declining market. A large number of real estate agents are struggling financially as they see their client base and income shrink. I know several that have taken on second jobs to pay their bills, and a few that have quit the business all together to search for a more stable job.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
6:15 AM
1 comments
Monday, August 4, 2008
Property taxes one of the biggest differences between Arizona and Midwest homes
There were a number of differences that jumped out at me when I looked at homes in St Louis. Of course the landscape is different; St Louis sees lush green foliage and Tucson is home to drought tolerant plant life (which is still be green and colorful through most of the year). All the yards in Missouri have green grass while most Tucson yards consist mainly of gravel (water conservation!). The majority of St. Louis homes don't have walls surrounding the property; the yards are open to anyone walking by. Even homes with pools don't have the high block walls you see surrounding most Tucson properties. Many only have low lying wrought iron "fences", while others use trees and bushes to create privacy walls.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
3:36 PM
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Labels: Tucson facts
Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Walk away companies taking advantage of distressed homeowners
Walking Away From Your Mortgage
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
7:39 PM
10
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Labels: Mortgage Corner
Monday, July 21, 2008
Tucson's rent is the cheapest in the West
Of the 19 metro areas that were surveyed, the cost to rent an apartment in Tucson was cheapest at $665, down .1% from the same period of the previous quarter. Phoenix rent was $812, while San Jose ranked the highest at $1689.
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
at
7:21 PM
1 comments
Friday, July 18, 2008
Hitting too close to home
I would never have expected foreclosures in my own neighborhood, but I'm not surprised by anything anymore. One of the above mentioned homes was bought as an investment while the other was bought when the market was at its peak in late 2005. Both are in less then desirable locations as they back up to a now two lane/soon to be four lane roadway which produces quite a bit of road noise. Both have been sitting on the market a long time and have not gotten offers for this reason (IMHO). Both are now priced extremely low which will inevitably affect our neighborhood's home values. Now we're seeing the prices of the other non distressed homes in the neighborhood dropping as they try to remain competitive.
Something I find even more discouraging is the new construction homes that are going into foreclosure before the communities are complete. The foreclosures and short sales I'm seeing are affecting property values of already completed homes as well as current builder pricing. While it's great for buyers, those homeowners that bought when prices were high are now stuck with homes worth a lot less then what they paid i.e. no equity. The majority of high dollar homes filing for foreclosure were purchased at the height of the real estate market; combine high home prices with excessive use of home equity and you have a recipe for disaster. What's a home owner to do?
Many homeowners are just holding on right now, trying to ride out the wave, while others are turning to "walk away" companies for assistance. I'll touch base about these types of companies in tomorrow's blog. Right now I've got to go show some property!
Posted by
Valorie Bradley
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10:38 AM
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